New AARP Poll of NY’s Redrawn 22nd Congressional District: Voters 50-plus Leaning Republican 54%-36%
Voters Focused on Pocketbook Issues
SYRACUSE, N.Y. — Likely voters age 50 and over in New York’s newly redrawn 22nd congressional district, stretching from Onondaga to Oneida counties, favor a generic Republican House candidate by 54% to 36% over a generic Democratic candidate – while around 90% said they’d be more likely to vote for a candidate who supports protecting Social Security and Medicare from cuts, letting Medicare negotiate lower prescription drug prices, and allowing older Americans to use Medicaid for home care services to avoid nursing homes.
That’s according to a new survey commissioned by AARP New York – which indicates that candidates should pay close attention to voters 50+ since 90% of respondents said they are extremely motivated to vote this fall.
Voters 50+ are a crucial voting bloc, consistently showing up to the polls and making a key difference in election outcomes. In the 2018 mid-term elections, the 50+ made up about 60% of the electorate, and they are poised to make up an even larger share of it in 2022 given their strong to motivation to vote.
“Voters 50+ are the most powerful voting bloc, and candidates would be wise to heed their call to protect Social Security and Medicare while taking action to lower our highest-in-the-world prescription drug prices and help our loved ones age at home,” said AARP New York State Director Beth Finkel.
Inflation and rising prices are the top overall concern for likely voters 50+.
Additional Findings from the NY 22 survey:
- Respondents are very pessimistic about the direction of the country, with only 14% saying it is headed in the right direction.
- 32% approve of the job President Joe Biden is doing compared to 56% who, in retrospect, say they approve of the job former President Donald Trump did while in office.
- Respondents say Social Security (83%), Medicare (73%) and cost of prescription drugs (68%) are very important when deciding who to vote for.
- There is significant concern among voters 50+ of all partisan stripes that both Social Security and Medicare will not be there when they need it.
- Republicans are significantly more consolidated behind their party’s candidate than Democrats are, while independent voters pick the generic Republican by a 29-point margin, 56% to 27%.
- Voters ages 50-64 are more supportive of the generic Republican, but voters 65+ are also supportive of the GOP.
- Voters 50-64 disapprove of President Biden’s job performance by a 41-point margin, with voters 65+ disapproving by 25 points.
- Republicans and independents both rate the economy, inflation, and immigration as the three most important issues.
- In addition to economic issues, Democrats prioritize gun control/gun rights issues, abortion, and voting rights in making up their mind to vote this November.
- Voters favor Republicans in Congress on crime, inflation, immigration, gas prices, and the economy in general by margins of 30-points or more.
- Gas and food are the biggest inflation concerns at 47% and 32%, respectively.
AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward & Impact Research to conduct the survey of 321 likely voters 50 and over from July 5-12. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 5.47%.
AARP recently released a separate survey of likely voters from the 56 most competitive congressional districts around the nation for 2022.
That survey found a generic Republican candidate with 4-point advantage over a generic Democratic candidate, and that voters age 50 and over make up over 60% of likely voters in these districts and will likely play a key role in deciding the outcome of the midterm elections. The districts included in the survey are rated either a “toss-up” or “lean” either Democratic or Republican by the Cook Political Report.
New York’s party primaries for U.S. House seats will be August 23. For more information on how, when and where to vote in New York, visit aarp.org/nyvotes.
AARP is the nation’s largest nonprofit, nonpartisan organization dedicated to empowering people 50 and older to choose how they live as they age. With a nationwide presence and nearly 38 million members, AARP strengthens communities and advocates for what matters most to families: health security, financial stability and personal fulfillment. AARP also produces the nation’s largest circulation publications: AARP The Magazine and AARP Bulletin. To learn more, visit www.aarp.org or follow @AARP and @AARPadvocates on social media.