
To: Interested Parties
From: Bradley Honan, Honan Strategy Group
Date: June 12, 2025
Re: Comptroller + Public Advocate Polling Data for Destination Tomorrow
I. Overview:
We conducted a public opinion poll about the upcoming New York City Democratic primary elections for Destination Tomorrow, a Bronx based LGBTQ non-profit, non-partisan organization, who is not endorsing any candidates in these races.
We polled 975 New York City Democratic voters likely to participate in the upcoming primary election, including a segment of anti-Trump surge voters. In addition, we oversampled another 282 New York City Democrats who identify as LGBTQ+, bringing the total sample size of this poll to 1,257.
The full and complete survey methodology appears at the end of the memo. At a broad level, here is what we have found:
II. The Primary Race for Comptroller:
Mark Levine is nearing 50% of the vote in the Democratic primary race for New York City Comptroller, and has increased his share of the vote substantially since our April poll on behalf of the 5 Borough Chambers of Commerce.
The race however is narrower among LGBTQ+ voters, where Levine only has a 7 point lead.
If the Democratic Primary Election for New York City Comptroller were held today and the candidates were Mark Levine, Justin Brannan, and Kevin Parker, for whom would you vote?
III. The Primary Race for Public Advocate:
The Public Advocate race remains about where we recorded it in April, but again, is a tighter race among LGBTQ+ voters.
If the Democratic Primary Election for New York City Public Advocate were held today and the candidates were Jumaane Williams, Jenifer Rajkumar, and Marty Dolan, for whom would you vote?
IV. Survey Methodology:
Honan Strategy Group’s survey on behalf of Destination Tomorrow was conducted in the following manner based on the parameters outlined below.
- The poll consisted of a total of 975 New York City Democrats likely to vote in the June primary and an oversample of 282 New York City Democrats who identify as LGBTQ+ and are likely to vote in the June primary.
- The survey was conducted using a text-to-web methodology, and the dates of interviewing were from June 5th to 9th, 2025.
- The overall margin of sampling error was = +/-2.76% at the 95% confidence level and higher among subgroups and +/-6.82% among the LGBTQ+ audience.
- The survey sampling frame was drawn to reflect the known population characteristics of New York City primary voters across demographics (age, race, gender) and political geography (County/Borough).
- The sample was comprised of likely Democratic primary voters defined below and included those recently registered to vote who represent potential anti-Trump “surge” voters.
Likely Democratic Primary voters were defined as follows:
- Democrats who voted in any Democratic primary between 2021 and 2024.
Democratic Anti-Trump “surge” voters were defined as follows:
- Those who say they will cast a ballot in June mainly due to Trump’s presence in the White House and who otherwise likely would not have cast a ballot in the June 2025 Primary had Kamala Harris been elected President.
- The voter selection criteria used to define this segment of voters was Democrats who registered to vote after January 1, 2024.